Austria Women v Iceland Women
A tough match to approach from a punting perspective this one, by virtue of the fact that Iceland are already out of the competition after losing both their opening matches. They certainly haven't disgraced themselves however, losing 1-0 to France and 2-1 to Switzerland - both results which deserve considerable credit for how close they kept things, and they have looked a pretty handy side.
Austria are at the opposite end of the group with four points from their first two matches, including a draw with second favourites France. Their win over the Swiss has got them into top spot, but that was arguably a fortunte result, so we've not been as overwhelmed by them as the market appears to.
Ranked 24th in the world, Austria are actually below Iceland (19th) and their results over the past few years suggest Iceland would perhaps of been marginal favourites if this match had been the opening match in the groups. Seeing Austria odds-on then comes as quite a surprise - the only thing which puts a slight fear factor into the mix is the potential for them to mix things up a bit to give some of the squad players some game time.
We think it's worth the risk though - Iceland looked competitive and surely won't roll over in this one.
0.5pts Iceland to beat Austria at 15/4 (Bet365)