Southampton v Newcastle
Southampton look shy of goals - both this season with five in seven matches, and last season throughout the campaign - and they will need to really change things up a gear if they are to justify quotes of 17/20 ahead of their home match with Newcastle. Five home games so far this season have seen the Saints draw a blank in four of those, and they've won just twice in eight home and away.
Newcastle aren't a whole lot better of course, currently sitting in ninth in the table, but their three wins have come against West Ham, Swansea and Stoke who all look pretty mediocre this season.
It's hard to have Southampton as short as 17/20, and we're willing to swim against the tide of money which looks to be coming for Saints right now.
Newcastle are even money with a (+1) start, meaning we collect with the draw or an away win. Seems reasonable.
1pt Newcastle (+1) to beat Southampton at evens