La Liga Best Bets
Malaga face Celta Vigo in the late La Liga match this evening, and there's an arguement that the odds on a high scoring match are longer than they should be. You can back Over 2.5 Goals at even money, and Over 3.5 Goals at 13/5.
Matches so far
- Four of Malaga's 10 matches have gone Over 2.5 Goals this season.
- Three of Malaga's 10 matches have gone Over 3.5 Goals
- Seven of Celta's 10 matches have gone Over 2.5 Goals
- Four of Celta's 10 matches have gone Over 3.5 Goals
- Celta's last five matches have produced 21 Goals in total.
Shot Data
In La Liga, on average, a goal is scored for every 9.04 shots, and one for every 3.25 shots on target.
Malaga's matches have thus far produced an average of 25 shots (for and against) and 10.77 shots on target.
Celta's matches have thus far produced an average of 24.1 shots (for and against), and 9.11 shots on target.
Combined, that gives us a prediction of something in the order of 3.05 goals expected in the game, which produces odds of something like 8/11 on Over 2.5 Goals or 7/4 for over 3.5 Goals.
Conclusion
There are enough signs pointing at Over goals for a small play on this one tonight, and we'll split the stakes on the two.
Over 2.5 Goals at 1/1 (General)
Over 3.5 Goals at 13/5 (UniBet) or 5/2 (WillHill)