Tottenham v West Ham
A second London Derby in as many matches on Thursday as Spurs tackle West Ham at Wembley. It's bound to be a combative affair with Spurs badly needing points to get back on track if they are to qualify for the Champions League once again, while West Ham continue to scrap for every point at the other end of the table.
Spurs of course coming into this bang in form having won six of their last seven, and will expect to welcome Harry Kane back into the starting XI. Spurs have lost just once at home in the league since moving to Wembley and have collected 19 points from a possible 21 in their last seven outings, so will come into this in confident mood.
Much has been made of David Moyes' working his magic at West Ham, but sit back and look at the stats for a moment and you have to question it slightly. Under Slaven Bilic, West Ham were 5-3-6 (WDL) this season, while since Moyes has been in the roll they are only marginally better at 3-3-5. Granted, a couple of the wins came in the EFL Cup under Bilic, but things certainly aren't as rosy as some would have you believe for the Hammers.
Add in a couple of injuries for West Ham - likely to start without the influential Michail Antonio and Aaron Cresswell, and they could be extremely vulnerable to Spurs' width.
For a bet here, Spurs look short enough (but justifiably) at 1/3, so we'll hit the goals markets given how potent they could be in this one. Spurs have scored three or more in five of their last nine at Wembley, including against Real Madrid, Liverpool and Southampton, while West Ham leaked three against both Bournemouth and Newcastle.
We'll also chuck a point on the rested Harry Kane to net a brace in this one. He's available at 11/4 to score two or more, and the stats suggest that's slight value. Kane has played 12 games at home for Spurs this season, and netted 2+ in four of those (Dortmund, Liverpool, Stoke, Southampton), while he managed it five times in 20 starts last season. Factor in his excellent record against West Ham (7 goals in 11 starts and braces in his last two starts at home to the Hammers) and you talk yourself into a small bet.
1pt Over 2.5 Tottenham Goals at 6/5 (Sun Bets or Betfair)
1pt Harry Kane to score 2+ at 11/4 (Betfair/Paddy Power)