Aussie Open Day 7
Day 7 looks a cracker - it could be the last opportunity for Nadal to coast through before the prospect of Marin Cilic awaits in the quarter-finals, we have a barnstormer match between Grigor Dimitrov and Nick Kyrgios and of course our very own Kyle Edmund is a solid odds-on shot as he bids to reach the quarter-finals.
The pick of the matches is Dimitrov v Kyrgios and given we've backed the Aussie in a couple of outright markets it may surprise readers to see us tipping up Dimitrov to win this one.
It's certainly not that we've gone cold on Kyrgios, so don't start panicking if you're into those bets, it's just that this match looks close to a pick-em encounter, so it's hard to leave 11/8 on the shelf about the Bulgarian.
Both players have made harder work than they would have liked in beating opponents they should have demolished with ease this week - Dimitrov was taken to a final set 8-6 win over relative unknown Mackenzie McDonald, while Kyrgios huffed and puffed past Viktor Troicki.
We still make Kyrgios favourite in this, but there's a very small bet to be had at 11/8 on Dimitrov.
0.8pts Dimitrov to beat Kyrgios at 11/8
Marin Cilic was our pick in the top quarter to make the semi-finals, and decent odds-against prices to beat Pablo Carreno Busta without dropping a set.
The Spaniard is a very rounded player, but he's not ideally suited to hard courts and as a result cannot fully translate his extremely effective return game to the surface easily - winning just 34% of receiving points against Top 100 players (and the same stat against Top 50 players). With Cilic boasting a much stronger serve than many, and also posting better surface receiving numbers than Carreno Busta, this match should only really go one way, and we saw that just over a year ago when Cilic won 6-0 7-6 indoors in the only meeting between the men.
1pt Cilic to beat Carreno Busta 3-0 at 8/5 (Marathon Bet)