Canadian Grand Prix
We're getting in early before Free Practice this week. We lost out on value by being too late to Monaco and wont make that mistake two weeks running.
Canada is all about power, and regardless of the engine penalites that look to be coming Red Bull's way, they wouldnt be in the mix this week anyway. This is a straight battle between Mercedes and Ferrari, and the Germans should hold the trump cards.
Lewis Hamilton has loved it here over the last few years, and following three successive victories is now vying to break Michael Schumachers record of seven wins here. His late breaking style, and the immense Mercedes power have been the perfect combination for this point and squirt type circuit.
It would take a brave man to bet against Lewis again, and his 6/4 quotes are definitely too long. He should be nearer even money this weekend at this point.
Team-mate Valtteri Bottas should also be shorter than the even money offered on him finishing on the podium. He finished 3rd here in both 2015 and 2016 in a Williams, and then improved to second last season in his debut Mercedes year. Give him a car with grunt here, and he delivers, and he is way too long at even money in our eyes. With Red Bull out of the equation in all likelihood, this will be a straight battle between him, Vettel and Raikkonen to fill the spaces behind Hamilton. Of those three, he's a clear favourite and with two spots available he should be well odds-on. He was on for a win in Azerbaijan, and Monaco was never really going to happen for him, so other than that he's three from four in terms of standing on the podium.
2pts Hamilton to win at 6/4 (Black Type)
2pts Bottas to finish on the Podium at evens (General)