World Champs - Day 4 (Evening)
Luke Humpries is a strong favourite when he meets Adam Hunt on Sunday evening. It's a big step up for both players, but all the stats suggest Humphries is better prepared to deal with the environment that awaits.
His last 12 months has seen him finish over 36% of his thrown legs inside 15 darts - Hunt manages just 10%, and that could be telling. The pair have met twice before - both on floor tournaments in the 2017 PDC Development Tour, with Humprhries winning those 5-1 and 5-3.
The 4/7 to win the match appeals, but it's never a great price for Singles backers, so we'll back the (-1) on the Set Handicap market at 5/4 instead here. We collect if it ends up 3-0 or 3-1.
1pt Humphries to beat Hunt (-1 set) at 5/4 (General)
Not a huge amount stands out in Matthew Edgar v Darius Labanauskus, except for a speculative early play (and possible in running play) on the colour of the first checkout being Green.
Not a lot splits the players on the stats, and they might hit broadly similar 180s totals. There isn't enough difference to warrant a bet. Both players stand out over decent samples of their tendencies to hit Green finishes. It's hard to spot a real pattern, but with over 150 legs per player in our data bank, it's enough to trust - with both hovering around the 50% market. You can back 1st Leg Winning Checkout to be Green at 7/4 with Betway.
1pt 1st Leg Check Out Green at 7/4 (Betway)
Paul Lim will be cheered loudly in every leg, such is his popularity. It's bound to be a close match against Ross Smith with neither man looking to hold a huge edge ahead of this one.
They both look closely matched when it comes to knocking in the big trebles, but the bookies make Smith a decent fav in that market. We have nothing between the pair, with around a 0.22-0.23 rate expected from each of the men, so the 11/4 with Betfair and Bet Victor is too big for the crowd favourite to put more in that Smith.
2pts Lim to score most 180s v Smith at 11/4 (Betfair / BetVictor)