Inter Milan v Bologna
A country mile separates Inter Milan and Bologna in the Serie A table - Inter on 40 points and Bologna really struggling on just 14 points - relegation is looming larger and larger.
Inter haven't lost at the San Siro since September - a 15 match sequence has followed since then and they should be trusted to get the job done with ease this afternoon. Against bottom-half sides this season they have handed out several thrashings, including beating Genoa 5-0 and Frosinone 3-0.
Bologna are winless on the road in Serie A this season, and their record is arguably worse than it looks as they have so far only travelled to three top half teams and have a further seven to come this season. They have lost each of their three away matches to top half sides - losing 2-0 at Juventus, 4-1 at Sampdoria and 3-2 at Napoli.
We're backing Inter on the handicap here - you can get 7/5 on the (-1) with Betway or marginally bigger on the exchanges.
We also like a special with William Hill's #YourOdds, where they offer 6/4 on each team getting over 1 card. So you need both sides to collect a couple of cards for the bet to win. That has happened in four of Inter's 10 home matches this season (40%), and 12 of their 21 matches overall (57%). For Bologna the bet would have won in 10 of their 11 away matches (91%) and 16 of their 21 matches in Serie A overall (76%)
Referee Fabrizio Pasqua is slightly on the lenient side, but not enough to worry too much about and so the 6/4 on offer for both sides to collect a couple of cards looks deceent value here.
1pt Inter Milan (-1) at 7/5 to beat Bologna (Betway)
1pt Each Team More than 1 Card at 6/4 (Will Hill)