Womens WC - Brazil v Jamaica
The first thing we need to tackle here is that Brazil are 1/10 favourites, yet have lost their last nine matches. Don't go charging into Jamaica based on that though. They have placed England (twice), USA (twice), France and Canada in six of those, with Scotland, Spain and Japan making up the other opponents. All world class sides ranked inside the Top 20. Jamaica are ranked 53rd.
Similarly Jamaica have been flying in warm up, but have chosen hugely beatable sides to practice against. When they played the top sides they lost 6-0 to USA, and 2-0 to Canada.
We'll steer a wide berth on the standard match markets given how hard these sides are to appraise, but it's fair to say Brazil are much superior despite recent Win/Loss records.
The next thing is the starting line-up for Brazil against the scorer markets.The markets have Cristiane Rozeira as the favourite, but after a period of time away from the national side she has failed to really establish herself back in the same vein as she used to. At 34-years-old, its entirely possible she may never be that force again, and has now not scored for the national team for 18 months.
It looks more likely to me that the starting trio for Brazil will be Marta (110 goals in 133apps but 33 years old), Debinha (14 goals in 45 games) and Andressa Alves (10 goals in 39 games).
Marta surely represents value at 16/5 to open the scoring with Betway. She's still a key part of the squad and that looks value given how short Brazil are to win. She is a SIX-TIME FIFA World Player of the Year (06,07,08,09,10,18) and has four times been runner-up.
1pt Marta to score the first goal at 16/5 (Betway)