La Liga Sunday Value
You can hardly split the fortunes of Alaves and Celta Vigo over recent seasons. Over the past three campaigns, Alaves have won 160pts to Celta's 144. No more than 10pts has split them in a single season, and last campaign it was Alaves who finished six places higher - in 11th in La Liga.
This season looks likely to be a struggle for both, with Alaves posting just 37.1% of shots in their matches (and 36% of shots-on-target), while Celta have posted 37.3% of shots in their matches.
It's true Alaves have had a reasonably kind opening run of matches, with December due to get tricky as they face both Real Madrid and Barcelona over the Christmas period. Celta have already played Real Madrid, and also tackled Atletico Madrid of course, but despite those handicaps, I am not convinced Alaves should be as long as 2/1 to win this one with such little between their performance data this season.
1pt Alaves to beat Celta at 2/1 (Coral)