Sheffield Wednesday v Leeds
Leeds United:
24 points from 13 games. +9 goal difference. Superb performance data stats in most areas.
Sheffield Wednesday:
23 points from 13 games. +8 goal difference. Fairly good performance data stats in most areas.
This weekend, Wednesday welcome Leeds to South Yorkshire and I just can’t agree with the market making Wednesday 11/4 outsiders given home advantage – something they have made the most of this season. Thus far, they have won 13 points from a possible 18 at home and conceded just three goals in front of their own fans. They have to chance in this one. All in, they have won eight of their 15 games this season, and they already have six clean sheets in the bank – not a great omen for a Leeds side who are struggling to get their finishing right.
After opening the season in excellent form, Leeds have now won just three of their last nine and their early season dominance and confidence is already starting to waver – and the fans are getting nervous. You’d be forgiven for thinking you’ve already watched this particular episode.
I’m not going to argue Wednesday are the better side here, but Leeds came within a whisker of defeat at Preston, and lost at both Millwall and Charlton before that. They are by no means certainties here, so we’ll take the same approach we did with Preston, and back the hosts and the double chance.
Backing Leeds at best price every week for £10 level stakes would see you 50p ahead after their 13 matches this season. For Sheffield Wednesday you’d be ahead by £45.30 by this stage.
2pts Sheffield Wednesday to beat Leeds at 11/4 (Betway)
1pt Sheffield Wednesday or Draw - 4/5 (Marathon)